BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Afton East Union

Class: 1A Class Rank: 112 Conference: (4-13) Overall: (7-16) Overall Strength =   53.43

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/29/2005 Home    W    65.10  79   12   1A  150 ( 0-20) Diagonal               12.70 *   54.30                      
  2 12/02/2005 Away    L *  37.82  28   89   2A    6 (27- 1) Nodaway Valley        -14.58 *  -46.42                      
  3 12/06/2005 Home    W *  61.34  58   53   2A  120 ( 6-16) Mount Ayr               8.94     -3.94                      
  4 12/09/2005 Home    L *  56.98  47   57   1A   61 (16- 8) Lenox                   4.59    -14.59                      
  5 12/13/2005 Away    L *  42.10  48   80   2A   77 (17- 6) Bedford               -10.30    -21.70                      
  6 12/16/2005 Home    L *  46.42  48   59   1A  101 (11-12) Corydon Wayne          -5.98     -5.02                      
  7 12/20/2005 Home    L *  50.02  41   86   2A    6 (27- 1) Nodaway Valley         -2.38 *  -42.62                      
  8 01/03/2006 Home    L    59.06  49   57   1A   64 (13- 9) Earlham                 6.66    -14.66                      
  9 01/06/2006 Away    L *  58.92  48   64   2A   78 (15- 9) Corning                 6.52    -22.52                      
 10 01/12/2006 Home    L    56.54  54   58   1A   82 (22- 2) Murray                  4.14     -8.14                      
 11 01/13/2006 Away    W *  58.11  72   64   1A  119 ( 5-19) Southeast Warren        5.71      2.29                      
 12 01/17/2006 Away    L *  47.14  56   69   2A  120 ( 6-16) Mount Ayr              -5.26     -7.74                      
 13 01/24/2006 Away    L *  44.79  58   84   1A   61 (16- 8) Lenox                  -7.61    -18.39                      
 14 01/27/2006 Home    W *  67.69  49   46   1A   79 (12-10) Martensdale M-SM       15.29    -12.29                      
 15 01/31/2006 Home    L *  65.30  57   62   2A   77 (17- 6) Bedford                12.90    -17.90                      
 16 02/03/2006 Away    L *  31.38  43   78   2A  109 ( 8-13) Truro Interstate-35   -21.02    -13.98                      
 17 02/07/2006 Home    L *  45.12  43   69   2A   78 (15- 9) Corning                -7.28    -18.72                      
 18 02/09/2006 Home    L *  42.37  47   74   2A   80 (13- 8) Pleasantville         -10.03    -16.97  was 01/20 now 02/09 
 19 02/10/2006 Away    W *  57.31  48   41   1A  125 ( 2-20) Leon Central Decatur    4.91      2.09                      
 20 02/17/2006 Away    L    61.39  60   72   1A   53 (19- 4) Orient-Macksburg        8.99    -20.99                      
 21 02/20/2006 Neutral W    37.00  93   56   1A  150 ( 0-20) Diagonal              -15.40 *   52.40                      
 22 02/22/2006 Away    W    74.39  38   37   1A   53 (19- 4) Orient-Macksburg       21.99    -20.99                      
 23 02/27/2006 Neutral L *  38.88  50   80   1A   61 (16- 8) Lenox                 -13.51    -16.49                      
      Averages              52.40  52.8 62.9

Best game:   74.39 = 1 point win over Orient-Macksburg
Worst game:  31.38 = 35 point loss to Truro Interstate-35
Team stdev:  11.38